A rude awakening

The Big Tech Layoffs of 2022–2023

Now, for more thoughts on the Big Tech Layoffs…

Here’s some additional thoughts that I developed this week.

These companies grossly over-hired

“We hired for a different financial reality” gets thrown around a lot recently. It’s just a platitude. It is frustrating to see how little foresight these executives had when they went on an unchecked hiring spree between 2020 and 2022. They all did, minus Apple, who showed restraint. And guess what, Apple is so far the only one that hasn’t had to lay people off. But, don’t listen to me, listen to the data (the chart is missing Amazon, but it’s the same story there):

No, there will no be consequences to executives

Here’s another platitude: “executives will have their bonuses reduced in 2023.” Why? As you grow in your career in Big Tech, stock surpasses cash in your overall compensation. As a Principal Engineer at Amazon, less than 25% of my compensation was cash, and the rest was stock. You can guess the ratios are even more dramatic for Directors, VPs and SVPs. My blend is a little more balanced at Google, but it’s still a lot more beneficial to my wallet for the stock to go up by a few bucks than it is to get a yearly bonus. Telling your employees that the executives that made the poor over-hiring choices will face consequences by having their bonuses reduced is not only a platitude, it’s condescending. It signals that whoever is telling you this thinks you’re stupid enough to not do simple math.

Now the ugly truth

OK, now that we got those out of the way, here’s the ugly truth. These are for-profit companies. Their objective is literally to make money, despite any platitudes you may see in the company literature about employees being the most important thing, or “Strive to be Earth’s Best Employer.” I get it. After having worked at Google for 3 years, Amazon for 11 years, and Microsoft for 11 years, a significant percentage of my net worth and retirement plans are tied to the ups and downs of GOOG, AMZN and MSFT shares that these companies gave me throughout my career. I am betting on them to succeed and I want their stock to go up. Yeah, ultimately, decisions are driven by business need. So, I think I can understand a company having to lay people off during an economic downtime.

Your ex-coworkers weren’t criminals

Terminating thousands of employees, is a daunting task with scaling challenges and an interesting set of constraints. Sure, there’s risk of an employee angry after loosing their job doing something stupid. That could range from walking into the office and stealing a bunch of things, to destroying a bunch of things, to physically attacking peers or managers, to maliciously ssh’ing into a production box to bring down a service, to deleting both your database and its backup, to stealing your codebase and leaking your precious trade secrets. So many bad actions here.

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Hi! I'm a Senior Staff Engineer at Google. Prior to Google, I was a Principal Engineer at Amazon for 11 yrs, and before that, I spent 11 years at Microsoft.

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Carlos Arguelles

Hi! I'm a Senior Staff Engineer at Google. Prior to Google, I was a Principal Engineer at Amazon for 11 yrs, and before that, I spent 11 years at Microsoft.